Does Science Reveal Truth?

Does Science Reveal Truth?

Science

Cookies help us deliver our Services. By using our Services or clicking I agree, you agree to our use of cookies. Learn More.

w

Joined
20 Oct 06
Moves
9555
08 Nov 19
2 edits

@metal-brain said
So biased guys like you attack what you don't like. That isn't surprising. I meant sea level rise though. Can you present another peer reviewed article saying sea level is rising at an alarming rate? Apparently not if you all are still resorting to attack the source even when it is a peer reviewed article from a respected science journal.

https://agupubs.onlinelibrary. ...[text shortened]... cience journal or something comparable. I will not accept gossip from hack websites known for lying.
That is the same article we discussed in depth in the other thread. Do you have any new insights?

To summarize, it's a highly cited modeling study that finds a steady increase in sea level over time, but no significant acceleration in sea level rise in the 20th century. It highlights many of the problems associated with the use of sea level to estimate human climate impact. Several follow up studies, which cite that work and build upon the findings, do not support the same conclusion (see below). It appears that the low sensitivity of the measurements (and the enormous number of complicated variables like thermal expansion, displacement changes in land mass height etc.) does not allow for any definitive conclusions at this time, other than the conclusion that sea levels are rising. Probably other measurements (like temperature) are better for assessing climate change impacts.

Other than bias, is there a reason why you would support the conclusions from Holgate et al (2007) but not the conclusion from Hay et al (2015) pasted below? Both use a similar climate model.

https://www.nature.com/articles/nature14093

MB

Joined
07 Dec 05
Moves
22048
09 Nov 19

@wildgrass said
That is the same article we discussed in depth in the other thread. Do you have any new insights?

To summarize, it's a highly cited modeling study that finds a steady increase in sea level over time, but no significant acceleration in sea level rise in the 20th century. It highlights many of the problems associated with the use of sea level to estimate human climate impa ...[text shortened]... 2015) pasted below? Both use a similar climate model.

https://www.nature.com/articles/nature14093
Climate models are BS and you know it. Wild guess' are not science.

w

Joined
20 Oct 06
Moves
9555
09 Nov 19
1 edit

@metal-brain said
Climate models are BS and you know it. Wild guess' are not science.
Not climate models, sea level models. In this case the modeling is critical to the study you posted. Did you read it? How else are you supposed to understand sea level rise from a few buoys floating in the ocean?

MB

Joined
07 Dec 05
Moves
22048
09 Nov 19

@wildgrass said
Not climate models, sea level models. In this case the modeling is critical to the study you posted. Did you read it? How else are you supposed to understand sea level rise from a few buoys floating in the ocean?
Sea level models?
Never heard of it. Please explain.

w

Joined
20 Oct 06
Moves
9555
09 Nov 19

@Metal-Brain

You should read the paper you keep posting.

MB

Joined
07 Dec 05
Moves
22048
09 Nov 19

@wildgrass said
@Metal-Brain

You should read the paper you keep posting.
If you will not explain it why should I think it is relevant?

w

Joined
20 Oct 06
Moves
9555
09 Nov 19

@Metal-Brain

... because it uses modeling.

MB

Joined
07 Dec 05
Moves
22048
09 Nov 19

@wildgrass said
@Metal-Brain

... because it uses modeling.
Explain it then

w

Joined
20 Oct 06
Moves
9555
10 Nov 19
1 edit

@metal-brain said
Explain it then
Is there a reason why you would support the conclusions from Holgate et al (2007) but not the conclusion from Hay et al (2015)? Both use a similar climate model.

h

Joined
06 Mar 12
Moves
642
10 Nov 19
2 edits

@wildgrass said
Is there a reason why you would support the conclusions from Holgate et al (2007) but not the conclusion from Hay et al (2015)? Both use a similar climate model.
And that 'reason' has nothing to do with a desire to find the truth regardless of how inconvenient or unpleasant that truth might be but rather has everything to do with massive personal bias to support the belief in whatever wild fantasy one would personally wish to be true.

Its so easy: Just cherry pick whatever words from scientific sources said by the experts that taken out of context just happen to appear to support one's personal chosen fantasy while conveniently ignoring and filtering out or just verbally trashing all the many more words from at least equally valid if not more valid scientific sources that contradict one's personal chosen fantasy; That's one way how a person who doesn't want to know the truth convinces himself of the more pleasant fairy land where all the warnings from scientists or science-experts backed up by real evidence must be all wrong and they must be all just "Liars" and "Morons" anyway for not agreeing with you chosen fantasy because you obviously know much more than the experts and are smarter than they are so why should you listen to the vast majority of them anyway?

MB

Joined
07 Dec 05
Moves
22048
11 Nov 19

@wildgrass said
Is there a reason why you would support the conclusions from Holgate et al (2007) but not the conclusion from Hay et al (2015)? Both use a similar climate model.
What climate model? There is no need for a climate model to observe data. Why would it be necessary?

h

Joined
06 Mar 12
Moves
642
11 Nov 19

@metal-brain said
What climate model? There is no need for a climate model to observe data. Why would it be necessary?
So that they can form their conclusions just like they did from their climate model.
Nobody here denies the the raw data; That's your strawman.

w

Joined
20 Oct 06
Moves
9555
11 Nov 19

@metal-brain said
What climate model? There is no need for a climate model to observe data. Why would it be necessary?
It is outlined in the paper you keep posting but didn't read. Data is collected and then interpreted to make meaningful conclusions. Modeling is essential. Otherwise all you'd know is the elevation of a buoy.

MB

Joined
07 Dec 05
Moves
22048
12 Nov 19

@wildgrass said
It is outlined in the paper you keep posting but didn't read. Data is collected and then interpreted to make meaningful conclusions. Modeling is essential. Otherwise all you'd know is the elevation of a buoy.
Why is modeling essential?

h

Joined
06 Mar 12
Moves
642
12 Nov 19
2 edits

@metal-brain said
Why is modeling essential?
To reach a conclusion of what the data implies.
So you don't know even the first thing about how science works?
Let me help you with that;

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scientific_method
"..The scientific method is the process by which science is carried out.
...
...the use of scientific modelling and reliance on abstract typologies and theories.."