Originally posted by Paul Leggett
Wow, when people said that she matched 90%+, I didn't realize that they were talking about being in the [b]top four best moves.
Depending on the openings and positions, I think it could be hard for a titled player to AVOID hitting one of the top four moves on a consistent basis.
I'm a hack, and even I can come up with a series of candidate mov t this is a sign that I don't really know squat about the subject, and they will be right![/b]
Well, if someone is matching a 3200 Elo rated engine to such a great extent in many games over time, you'd expect their rating to reflect that.
Many pre computer era CC World Championship finalists & OTB Super GM's have been tested in the same way & their match rates for 400+ non-database moves
without fail fall below
Top 1 Match: 65%
Top 2 Match: 80%
Top 3 Match: 90%
Maybe Dembo plays a natural engine-like game in her OTB, well this was tested in the same way too:
"I picked the last 20 games >= 35 moves from chessgames.com. All against high-rated opposition (lowest ELO in the set is 2222, highest is 2655)"
The results of the analysis were:
Dembo OTB games:
Stockfish 1.8, 512MB hash, min/max ply=12/30, 40s/ply, 2GHz Core Duo:
{ Yelena Dembo (Games: 20) }
{ Top 1 Match: 422/929 ( 45.4% )
{ Top 2 Match: 615/929 ( 66.2% )
{ Top 3 Match: 717/929 ( 77.2% )
{ Top 4 Match: 777/929 ( 83.6% )
These are rather mundane figures suggest Dembo's unassisted style isn't particularly engine-like at all.
Of course the match rates will likely be a little higher in CC as opposed to OTB, but this just shows how much she matched in those OTB & that is all. The low match rates, especially 45% for top 1 match, may come as a surprise to you, Paul, seeing as they are from an International Master.
By the way, Yelena was moving on a daily basis in the chess.com games & had about 15 in progress when her account was closed.
Her record before that was
P=155
W=140
D=15
L=0
and she was #21 highest rated on site & climbing.