@radioactive69
Hi there Champ.
I always find these 'mismatches' v difficult to call, on the handicap.
To state the obvious, if England start well against USA they could easily overcome a 33 point handicap, if the first half is scrappy and a few refereeing decisions go against us, they wont. To add to the mix, England are playing far from their first choice XV.
If England had to beat USA by 35 points to win the WC, could they do it? Almost certainly. But they dont.
I would go England/Italy on the handicap, with little confidence.
I think the best bet is NZ to win the thing at anything better than 'evens'. They are 6/5 here(think you would call that 2.20), and that looks decent value, still the class act.
The reffing has been generally poor. Watched Samoa v Russia 1st half yesterday, and at least one, probably 2 , Samoans should have been red carded. Also see an Aussie was given a retrospective 'red card'. That may affect the 2nd round of games if the refs go 'trigger happy'