1. Joined
    12 Jul '08
    Moves
    13814
    31 May '20 16:57
    @deepthought said
    Whereas Donald Trump guessing is obviously a better idea.
    Trump let the establishment take over after seeing that 2.2 million death lie of a model.
  2. Standard memberDeepThought
    Losing the Thread
    Quarantined World
    Joined
    27 Oct '04
    Moves
    87415
    31 May '20 17:05
    @eladar said
    Trump let the establishment take over after seeing that 2.2 million death lie of a model.
    That figure of 2.2 million deaths does not require a sophisticated model. If 2/3 of the population need to be infected for herd immunity and the virus has a 1% Infection Fatality Rate then, in the US, 2.2 million people will die. It's that simple. The models said what was necessary to avoid that outcome.
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