Originally posted by Grampy BobbyVery nice spread for St. Louis.
Incredulous, in my opinion, that Denver is holding at +4.5 dog.
Off the top of my head, the only reason I can see for Denver getting 4.5 is San Diego coming off the bye, and even that's a stretch. I didn't see anything on the injury reports.
Originally posted by FleabittenThe Chargers have won six straight against the Broncos.
Very nice spread for St. Louis.
Off the top of my head, the only reason I can see for Denver getting 4.5 is San Diego coming off the bye, and even that's a stretch. I didn't see anything on the injury reports.
Originally posted by FleabittenWithout attempting to provide the entire rationale on the spot, let me suggest that Denver's point spread coverage = +58.5 in 2009
Very nice spread for St. Louis.
Off the top of my head, the only reason I can see for Denver getting 4.5 is San Diego coming off the bye, and even that's a stretch. I didn't see anything on the injury reports.
versus ending 2008. Over coverage = performance improvement and lag in bettor perception. SD's 2009 to date track record = -14.
Originally posted by FleabittenOh, I agree the line is ridiculous. I would lock up Denver this week as that D is gonna have a hard on to shut down the Charger offense after last year's embarrassing defeat at the end of the year.
True. But they also look very ordinary so far bthis season, while everything is going right for Denver. Not saying the streak's not a factor, but I still wouldn't expect a line higher than 3.5.
Originally posted by darvlayYes, with point spread coverage. Straight up is a challenge with dogs,
I assume you're playing the spreads with your picks?
I got the following dogs this week (straightup, no spreads): Giants, Chiefs, Cards, Bears and Broncos
though I like Denver and would think Giants and Bears have a shot.
Originally posted by Grampy BobbySD has been a big letdown so far this year but at some point they will turn it around. Too much talent not to. Key is when. Last year, it was around Week 8.
Without attempting to provide the entire rationale on the spot, let me suggest that Denver's point spread coverage = [b]+58.5 in 2009
versus ending 2008. Over coverage = performance improvement and lag in bettor perception. SD's 2009 to date track record = -14.[/b]
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Originally posted by darvlayYou're probably right. Pendulum keeps swinging, within and between
SD has been a big letdown so far this year but at some point they will turn it around. Too much talent not to. Key is when. Last year, it was around Week 8.
seasons. Bear in mind that Denver was the disappointment in 2008.