29 Aug 14
1 edit
Originally posted by Grampy BobbyI printed out the regular-season schedule for this year. It was only 13 pages from NFL.com Stupid though I was hoping for 17 pages.
RB, which season did you analyze and what source did you use? Here's the NFL Preseason and Regular Season Record of each team since 2002 by Division, Conference and League: http://espn.go.com/nfl/standings/_/type/playoffs/year/2013
You may enjoy this recent comment from a good friend and NFL Fan: "One more week and we lace up the cleats for real."
Then I went down each week of just picking who I think would win each game.
Originally posted by Grampy BobbyNFC
[b]"2014 NFL Season Big Pond Pub" Thread 131880
Welcome to the 2014 NFL Season. This thread resumes the many enjoyable conversations between NFL Fans who reside on both sides of the Atlantic Ocean. Its parent thread, "2010 NFL Season 'Big Pond Pub'", was originally posted 05 Jul '10. [i]Our competition invites your top ten we ...[text shortened]... did your job. And that’s what execution is about. This game is about execution." -Bill Belichick[/b]
5. Seattle Seahawks
4. New Orleans Saints
3. Detroit Lions
2. New York Giants
1. Green Bay Packers
AFC
5. New England Patriots
4. Indianapolis Colts
3. Denver Broncos
2. Baltimore Ravens
1. San Diego Chargers
The AFC picks were exceedingly difficult to make... based on the Offseason and preseason these 5 teams could all flip flop places and I would still be as content as I could be with my picks. In the west the chargers could unseat the Broncos and I wouldn't be completely surprised, in the North the Ravens will almost certainly win the Division IMO and may be a powerhouse once again this season. The Pats are an easy pick to win the east. The south? The AFC south is really up for grabs and that is without hinting that the Colts are not a good team but any team in the division could be great if things pan out. Take the Texans, with just above average Qb play and the defense playing as dominant as they seem on paper this team could easily win 12 games, or how about the Titans? If Locker stays healthy and proves to be the playmaker he was drafted to be then they could win 10 or 11 games IMO and the Jags, if they Start Bortles and everything goes right they can finish in contention for at least a wild card spot. Most intriguing division in the NFL.
> Seven "2014 NFL Season Big Pond Pub" Competitors to date: RBHILL;
gort; Grampy Bobby; FreakyKBH; kiki46; Trev33; MISTER CHESS;
_____________________________
Current Las Vegas Insider Odds: (Page 1)
"Odds to WIN the 2015 NFC CHAMPIONSHIP
Team................... Odds
Seattle Seahawks 16/5
New Orleans Saints 11/2
Green Bay Packers 11/2
San Francisco 49ers 6/1
Chicago Bears 13/1
Philadelphia Eagles 14/1
Detroit Lions 20/1
Atlanta Falcons 30/1
Arizona Cardinals 32/1
New York Giants 33/1
Carolina Panthers 35/1
Washington Redskins 35/1
St. Louis Rams 50/1
Dallas Cowboys 50/1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 50/1
Minnesota Vikings 50/1"
__________________________
Current Las Vegas Insider Odds:
"Odds to WIN the 2015 AFC CHAMPIONSHIP
Team................... Odds
Denver Broncos 11/5
New England Patriots 3/1
Indianapolis Colts 12/1
Cincinnati Bengals 13/1
Pittsburgh Steelers 14/1
San Diego Chargers 18/1
Baltimore Ravens 18/1
Houston Texans 25/1
New York Jets 28/1
Kansas City Chiefs 30/1
Miami Dolphins 32/1
Buffalo Bills 40/1
Cleveland Browns 45/1
Tennessee Titans 60/1
Oakland Raiders 100/1
Jacksonville Jaguars 125/1"
(Odds provided by Sportsbook.ag Updated Mon, Aug. 25, 10:30 AM ET)
http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/futures/
01 Sep 14
1 edit
Originally posted by MISTER CHESSwho bases picks for the season on the offseason or preseason?
NFC
5. Seattle Seahawks
4. New Orleans Saints
3. Detroit Lions
2. New York Giants
1. Green Bay Packers
AFC
5. New England Patriots
4. Indianapolis Colts
3. Denver Broncos
2. Baltimore Ravens
1. San Diego Chargers
The AFC picks were exceedingly difficult to make... based on the Offseason and preseason these 5 teams could all flip flop ...[text shortened]... hey can finish in contention for at least a wild card spot. Most intriguing division in the NFL.
01 Sep 14
Originally posted by gortWho doesn't?
who bases picks for the season on the offseason or preseason?
I use the offseason and preseason to judge if a team has addressed the issues they faced in the prior season and if they retained their strengths.
In the offseason we see which players and coaches end up where and then during the preseason we get to evaluate the players on the field. We don't really get to evaluate the coaches but most coaches are established and we have an idea of their scheme and know if it has been successful or if it fits with the personnel they are given.
01 Sep 14
1 edit
Originally posted by gortWhat do you do then? pick solely on last seasons performance?
not me
BTW I don't judge a team based on record in the preseason. a team can go 0-4 but if the players they added in the offseason are looking good and they fill in the holes they had and that team was say 8-8 but a year before they were 12-4 then I can reasonably expect them to be a playoff team.
01 Sep 14
Originally posted by gortNo problem.
don't go by preseason, for sure, we all don't know, it's more of a reason for us to have fun and play. thanks mister chess, I respect you for that.
It isn't an exact science, and like I said I already know the general strength of each team, the offseason and preseason just gives us a hint if the team gained or lost strength because in todays NFL the difference between winning the Super Bowl and winning the first pick in the draft is a lot narrower than any other sport.
01 Sep 14
Originally posted by MISTER CHESS😉
No problem.
It isn't an exact science, and like I said I already know the general strength of each team, the offseason and preseason just gives us a hint if the team gained or lost strength because in todays NFL the difference between winning the Super Bowl and winning the first pick in the draft is a lot narrower than any other sport.
01 Sep 14
Originally posted by MISTER CHESSwho's going to win the superbowl, and the nfl draft?
No problem.
It isn't an exact science, and like I said I already know the general strength of each team, the offseason and preseason just gives us a hint if the team gained or lost strength because in todays NFL the difference between winning the Super Bowl and winning the first pick in the draft is a lot narrower than any other sport.