Originally posted by robbie carrobie
well it cannot be more than the age of the universe can it, which as far as i am aware is limited. Indeed how many times would it take to roll the amino acid dice to get the correct sequence and then let us compare that number with an event estimated to be almost as never happening which as far as i am aware is in the region of 1X10^50
We would need to know:
1. The number of amino acids required to make the 'correct sequence'.
2. The number of times amino acids combine by chance per second in the universe.
3. The age of the universe.
4. The number of possible 'correct sequences' that could work.
Since it is highly unlikely that you know any of those numbers to any degree of accuracy, I find it unreasonable that you have made a conclusion regarding the answer. All we have to go on is the fact that it apparently did happen (assuming that is how life started) which would seem to indicate that the probability is high - but then again, it is not wise to deduce anything probability-wise from a single known result.
And even then, for the answer to be relevant, we would need to assume that the hypothesis is correct in the first place (the hypothesis being that life started from a random coincidence with amino acids rather than by some other process).