Originally posted by agryson
There's a great book out, though it's not fiction, called "The Singularity is Near" by Ray Kurzweil. There's a website too, but I've forgotten the url, I'll look it up again later.
In this book he has a theory about human development (it's quite a heavy tome, don't think you'll have it read in a few days) which is based on exponentials and he's had some suc weilAI.net
but it spoils the 'result' too, you'll just have to get the book.
Is that a new one? His original book was "The age of spiritual machines" with the same theme, been out a few years now. My buddy Leboeuf (plays chess here) and I have been kind of charting the trend to his 'singularity' and techology seems to be on track for this.
For instance, supercomputers now are exceeding 1500 TRILLION instructions per second. Intel has just announced a single chip with 80 cpu's inside! Not for sale yet, still a demo, but the trend is pretty clear. That single chip would enable PC's or laptops with teraflop computing speed which is hundreds of times faster than any PC out today. It only seems a matter of time. Newer technologies like Spintronics which uses the magnetic orientation of molecules instead of electron flow in a computer, quantum computation, a dream for now but seems to be inching forward to a day when a computer spits out the answer almost before you ask the question. These technologies will make todays machines look like pocket calculators and I mean the Petaflops of today, will be more like Gigapetaflop computers effectively. Try to think what that will mean for the world.
If you have computers thousands of times faster than even the best of today, it makes the simulation of a human brain most likely, right now there is a simulation of half a mouse brain, a huge step along the way to having a human brain in silicon or whatever the technology of the distant future will be. When that happens, all sorts of new technologies will follow, perhaps super mathemetician computers better than Newton or Chadradeskar or Steven Hawking making new discoveries humans can only dream about. The problem then occurs when having been made, will the computer not release its own findings but keep it to itself, thinking the human race too immature to use such advanced technologies it could unleash. Gives you food for thought, eh.
About my new book🙂, the most likely scenerio would be humans just die out and maybe intelligence with it. So I see where they could invent a kind of solid DNA and solid simulation of cells that could store the human genome, maybe by that time, say a million years from now given a smooth time of solving earthly problems, enabling a truly scientific age with a million years of uninterrupted science, could make seeds of a new ecology in the form of nanotube coded solids that would start making new life forms just out of the environment that would ensue on the newly warming Titan, billions of years after humans have gone. Say 4 billion years from now, intelligence has been long gone from the solar system and the new seeds start hatching the entire ecology of earth and it has hundreds of millions of years to get it going. In light of Kurtzweil's ideas, I think it could actually come about. I have to think about a real book here, I think it has real potential for a bang up tale, don't you think?