Nobody has accurate infection numbers. Impossible, just about. Death toll is even questionable. What happens when a person with heart and kidney disease dies while he has the virus? Well, now, they have even changed that. It is now counted as a CV death. It wasn't before.
And it can vary from country to country so their figures cannot be counted together. Not accurately, anyway
For what it's worth, I look at this site. You can look at the world, individual countries, etc.
I don't know if it's any more accurate than other places, and as you can see not every place has updated regularly.
My state in the US only updates once a day, but I think others are more frequent.
@eladarsaid Is there a place that has accurate numbers concerning deaths? Or is it simply a guesstimate and no numbers are actually accurate?
Here is the run rate for the UK:
Deaths announced up to 1 April 2020
Date of death Total deaths
Up to 10 March 2020 16
11 March 2020 6
12 March 2020 10
13 March 2020 15
14 March 2020 22
15 March 2020 27
16 March 2020 41
17 March 2020 38
18 March 2020 53
19 March 2020 50
20 March 2020 79
21 March 2020 71
22 March 2020 99
23 March 2020 102
24 March 2020 120
25 March 2020 157
26 March 2020 214
27 March 2020 231
28 March 2020 234
29 March 2020 271
30 March 2020 182
31 March 2020 96
Awaiting verification 3
Total at April 1st 2137
That was up to April 1st, we are now one week later and yesterday's deaths here were 938. You're the maths teacher, so do some on that curve.
Total annual UK deaths from flu in the UK are around 17,000 mostly over the six month flu season. That is an average of 93 a day over the 6 months.
Yesterday nearly 1000 people died and it's climbing.
For what it's worth, I look at this site. You can look at the world, individual countries, etc.
I don't know if it's any more accurate than other places, and as you can see not every place has updated regularly.
My state in the US only updates once a day, but I think others are more frequent.
I guess right now I'd trust the WM site more because the IMHE one made large unexplained adjustments to the weekend US death tolls. But still the WM can't be compared to the IMHE projection and all numbers are probably significant undercounts.
@no1maraudersaid I guess right now I'd trust the WM site more because the IMHE one made large unexplained adjustments to the weekend US death tolls. But still the WM can't be compared to the IMHE projection and all numbers are probably significant undercounts.
So is it that the model is wrong? Why trust the model if you do not trust their numbers?